As of early 2024, El Niño has officially returned, bringing severe climate disruptions across the globe. From Central America to Southeast Asia, this extreme weather pattern is wreaking havoc on agricultural production—especially on rice, the staple food of more than half the world’s population.
Data from FAO, NASA, and international climate monitoring agencies suggest that the 2024–2025 El Niño cycle could become one of the most intense in the past two decades.
Vietnam’s Mekong Delta – The Heart of Rice Export Is Running Dry
In Vietnam, the Mekong Delta, which accounts for more than 50% of national rice output, is experiencing record-high saltwater intrusion and a severe shortage of irrigation water in key provinces such as An Giang, Dong Thap, and Ca Mau.
According to the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development:
“If El Niño extends into mid-2025, summer-autumn rice output could drop by 15–20%.”
Thailand, the world’s second-largest rice exporter, is facing similar challenges. Projected production may decrease by nearly 3 million tons this year alone.
It’s Not Just About Less Rice – It’s About Rising Prices Worldwide
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🌾 Supply is shrinking → Global 5% broken white rice prices have already risen over 18% in the last 6 months.
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🌎 Importing nations are accelerating early purchases, especially from Vietnam, which remains relatively stable.
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🏦 F&B companies and global distributors are now turning to fixed-price contracts, locking in prices for 1–3 years to mitigate climate risks.
A Proactive Strategy: Thuan Nguyen Rice and the 3-Year Price Lock Model
When weather becomes unpredictable, a resilient supply chain strategy becomes essential.
With farming networks across Dong Thap and An Giang and export-ready processing facilities, Thuan Nguyen Rice is offering a “Fixed Price – Scheduled Delivery” program to international buyers:
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Japonica and premium white rice, meeting global standards
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Delivery every 3 or 6 months by contract
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Prices fixed for 18 to 36 months
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Full export support with logistics and documentation
This model is not just about rice—it’s about cost protection and planning stability for importers navigating an unstable world.
Smart Buyers Don’t Wait for the Lowest Price—They Lock in Supply Before the Storm
No one can control El Niño. But businesses can control their exposure to price spikes by partnering with long-term, trustworthy suppliers who understand the global climate-food connection.
In today’s market, rice export isn’t just about containers—it’s about trust, timing, and building a climate-resilient supply chain.
